Map shows where the 2026 ‘super’ El Niño could bring lots of rain, extreme drought
- Scientists say a "super" El Niño is strengthening now — there's a >90% chance it reaches "super" status and about a 69% chance it becomes the strongest since 1950.
- Impacts will vary: the southeastern U.S. is likelier to see a wetter winter, parts of the Northeast could be drier, and places like Brazil and Southeast Asia face increased drought risk.
- The event could last into early 2027, meaning it may shape winter weather patterns (increasing the odds of those outcomes, though not guaranteeing them).