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Iranian officials are worried the U.S. blockade will cause an economic collapse and admit sanctions relief is desperately needed

  • Iran has slapped down a long list of preconditions — lifting the naval blockade, ending sanctions and U.S. military presence, unfreezing assets and more — before it will reopen the Strait of Hormuz, making a quick resolution unlikely.
  • The economy is under severe strain: official inflation is near 89%, unemployment is up, GDP is forecast to shrink, electricity rationing is in place and key oil exports from Kharg Island have effectively stopped under the U.S. blockade.
  • Deep political tensions complicate any deal: moderates pushing for negotiations and sanctions relief face fierce opposition from hardliners after the regime’s brutal crackdown on protests.
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