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Russia’s overwhelming manpower advantage against Ukraine is starting to wane

  • Russia is dangling huge incentives—about $80,000 signing bonuses and up to $140,000 in debt relief—to recruit men for the war in Ukraine.
  • Recruitment is still faltering (down roughly 20%) and the conflict has caused a severe labor shortage, worsening inflation and economic strain at home.
  • Ukraine’s growing use of drones and robots is inflicting heavy Russian casualties and territorial losses, pushing Moscow to rely on prisoners, foreign recruits and other desperate measures.
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