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Wall Street’s bulls are starting to admit the earnings bubble is real — and the 60/40 portfolio may be the first casualty

  • The old 60/40 rule for portfolios is under pressure — higher rates, more government debt and changing bond dynamics mean bonds may no longer provide the ballast they once did.
  • Big banks and strategists are warning of an "earnings bubble" in tech as massive AI-driven capex forces hyperscalers to tap markets for funding, leaving investors to question whether growth is sustainable.
  • Markets are getting volatile and less mega-cap–centric: Microsoft had a historic one-day surge, IBM suffered a huge single-day crash, and equal-weighted stocks are finally beating the market-cap index.
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