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Europe growth hit more by China exports than bigger trade gap, Goldman says

  • Goldman Sachs says EU growth is being hurt more by losing export market share to China in third markets than by a rising bilateral trade deficit.
  • China’s exports to the EU have jumped (about 16% in early 2024), undercutting European makers—especially in machinery and transport equipment.
  • The EU is expected to respond with targeted measures in sectors like steel, machinery and chemicals, but not U.S.-style blanket tariffs.
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