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Trump may have to choose between an endless quagmire and ceding the Strait of Hormuz to Iran

  • Fighting has flared up again across the Gulf, with Iran threatening the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. reinstating a naval blockade — raising the risk of wider regional strikes and shipping disruptions.
  • Global oil reserves are thinning and prices have jumped (U.S. gas around $4/gal), so fuel costs and inflation could become a hot political issue before the midterms.
  • Analysts say the U.S. faces a stark choice to escalate or cut a deal; expect short-term flare‑ups but a longer-term push to build pipelines and ports that bypass Hormuz.
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