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Analysis-Trump threatens new Iran escalation and risks repeating old mistakes

  • The U.S. has stepped up air strikes and threatened broader attacks on Iran, but experts say further escalation is unlikely to force Tehran to change course.
  • The conflict is disrupting shipping through the Strait of Hormuz โ€” and Iran may press allies to threaten the Red Sea route too โ€” sending oil prices and market jitters higher.
  • An interim ceasefire has unraveled, complicating diplomacy and raising political pressure on President Trump ahead of the U.S. midterm elections.
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