- Argentina stunned England with two late goals (Enzo Fernández 85', then Messi’s injury‑time assist to Lautaro Martínez), leaving oddsmakers scrambling as the final is now Spain vs. Argentina.
- Caesars moved its lines but bettors are backing Argentina — the public is largely on a Messi fairytale, shifting money and odds toward Argentina despite Spain being the book favorite.
- Books say they'd prefer a low‑scoring draw/penalties (and a Spain winner) — yet heavy action on Overs and a crowded Argentina 3-2 correct‑score market has created big liabilities, and sportsbooks would love for Messi and teenage star Lamine Yamal to be kept quiet.
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