- Tight opener in Houston — Bills are slight favorites (-1.5) with a 44.5 total, so this could come down to one or two key plays.
- Buffalo lives late: led the NFL in rushing TDs and fourth-quarter yards in 2025, with Josh Allen (and Keon Coleman if active) set to shape the offense.
- Texans have won 10 of 11 recently; C.J. Stroud needs a sharp start and Kayshon Boutte could be a big factor with Tank Dell on IR.
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