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Lula's lead over Bolsonaro narrows ahead of Brazil election, poll shows

  • Lula still leads but the race has tightened — Quaest's simulated runoff shows Lula 43% vs Bolsonaro 40% (within a 2-point margin).
  • In a first-round scenario Lula has 38% and Bolsonaro 31%, leaving room for a likely runoff in October.
  • The challenger, Flavio Bolsonaro, is the eldest son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, adding a family-dynasty angle to the contest.
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