- Steelers are 3.5-point favorites at home — easy small-talk angle (moneyline PIT -181 / ATL +152, total 41.5).
- Expect the game to hinge on Jaylen Warren running vs. a Falcons front that allowed 4.6 yards per carry in 2025.
- QB subplot: Tua starts for Atlanta (Penix inactive) opposite Aaron Rodgers, and Jessie Bates III’s availability could steady the Falcons’ secondary.
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