- New research in Science finds shutting down USAID coincided with a noticeable rise in violence across Africa, especially in regions that relied most on U.S. aid.
- Areas with heavy USAID exposure saw roughly 6–12% increases in conflict events, battles, protests/riots and related fatalities in the months after the cuts.
- Analysts warn of wider fallout — billions in lost economic output, millions more falling into extreme poverty by 2030 — and cite resurgences of groups like Boko Haram and ISIS affiliates as examples.
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