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Chris 'The Bear' Fallica's College Football Week 4 Expert Picks, Best Bets

  • Fun upset angle: historically when a top‑five team is an underdog vs. an unranked opponent, it’s gone poorly — the last four such instances (most recently Oregon in 2021) all lost outright.
  • Intriguing line: it’s just the fourth time since 2013 that No. 1 is a favorite by under seven points in a regular‑season game — the previous three No. 1s lost.
  • Big program slump: Florida State is 8‑19 since the start of 2024 and has been trounced by rivals (Florida, Miami), which makes every FSU game a talking point.
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