- Chiefs are slight 2.5-point favorites at Arrowhead Monday night, and most bettors are backing Kansas City on the moneyline.
- Broncos bring the NFL’s top pass rush (68 sacks in 2025), a neat counter to the Chiefs’ efficient short-yardage/goal-to-go offense.
- Mahomes is expected to play after knee surgery but could face extra pressure; key matchups: Courtland Sutton vs. Kansas City coverage, Rashee Rice as a safety valve for Mahomes, and Tyler Badie’s returns could flip field position.
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