- Trump appears boxed in as a fragile ceasefire with Iran stalls — both sides have traded strikes and Tehran isn’t yielding to U.S. demands.
- The stalemate keeps oil prices elevated, driving up gas and living costs and giving politicians a talking point ahead of the midterms.
- Allies and advisers are split — some warn against restarting bombardment (and note depleted munitions), while hawks push for a harder line and Democrats press politically.
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