- Belarus is hosting Russian troops, military infrastructure and even nuclear-capable weapons, raising fears it could become a launchpad for new strikes on Ukraine or threaten NATO neighbors.
- Kyiv says Russia is pushing to draw Belarus deeper into the war; Ukraine has bolstered northern defenses and Western leaders — including Macron — are increasingly alarmed.
- Lukashenko denies plans to enter the war and benefits from ties to Moscow, but Belarus’ armed forces are small and experts say any attack from its territory would risk heavy losses.
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