- Five teams are 0-4 (Dolphins, Titans, Texans, Buccaneers, Chargers) and are heavy favorites to miss the playoffs — only once has an 0-4 team ever reached the postseason (1992 Chargers).
- Early swings already: the Packers went from +122 to -330 to miss the playoffs, the Chargers have plunged to -1200 after still being winless, and the Texans flipped from +150 to -340 despite last season’s strong finish.
- Heavy favorites to make the postseason (i.e., big payouts if they actually miss) include the Bills (+600), Chiefs (+550), 49ers (+450) and Ravens (+475) — good teams bettors expect to hold steady.
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