- Beijing is increasingly locking down the air and sea around Taiwan with near-daily military, coastguard and patrols aimed at cutting external sea lanes and encircling the island.
- Taiwan says China is learning from recent conflicts — notably Ukraine and the U.S.-Iran exchanges — adopting cheap drone tactics and studying strains on air defenses and ammunition supply.
- Taipei warns of rising unpredictability after a senior military purge but notes Beijing still appears to lack a ready amphibious-invasion capability; the U.S. continues to arm Taiwan while keeping its defense stance ambiguous.
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